Buy-and-hold of this week's PICK list over trailing prices. Ratings are not walked forward — a name that is a PICK today is treated as a pick on every day in the window. No costs, no rebalance. Cash earns 0 in the published book. Default book is the model portfolio, weights renormalized to 100% invested. Cash is a separate toggle. Benchmark is SPY.
Indexed to 100 at the start of the selected window. Switch the book and the lookback; the table below stays on trailing 3m / 6m / 1y from 2026-10-16.
Model weights sum to 100% invested. 3m / 6m / 1y are buy-and-hold total returns to 2026-10-16 versus SPY over the same window.
| Ticker | Sleeve | Weight | 3m | 6m | 1y | vs SPY | Max DD | Sharpe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C |
Core | 15.0% | -2.8% | +12.7% | +36.5% | +22.8% | -21.5% | 0.86 |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation |
Core | 15.0% | +3.3% | +6.0% | +15.4% | +1.8% | -20.2% | 0.45 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. |
Core | 15.0% | -1.9% | +0.9% | +36.0% | +22.4% | -21.1% | 0.98 |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. |
Core | 11.2% | -9.5% | +96.0% | +360.2% | +346.6% | -39.1% | 2.19 |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. |
Tactical | 9.6% | -2.9% | +92.3% | +159.6% | +145.9% | -27.8% | 1.63 |
| ARM Arm Holdings plc |
Tactical | 6.6% | -21.4% | +30.1% | +45.8% | +32.2% | -48.8% | 0.80 |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. |
Contrarian | 3.5% | -14.9% | -17.7% | -2.0% | -15.7% | -31.7% | 0.11 |
| BA The Boeing Company |
Contrarian | 3.5% | -7.1% | -15.5% | -13.4% | -27.1% | -26.9% | -0.36 |
| KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, |
Contrarian | 3.4% | -16.2% | -42.1% | -59.7% | -73.3% | -69.9% | -0.96 |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. |
Contrarian | 3.4% | +19.0% | -19.4% | -37.0% | -50.6% | -49.9% | -1.23 |
| ETN Eaton Corporation plc |
Contrarian | 2.9% | -2.9% | -4.0% | +3.0% | -10.7% | -18.6% | 0.17 |
| AVAV AeroVironment, Inc. |
Contrarian | 2.5% | -18.2% | -38.2% | -68.9% | -82.6% | -70.6% | -1.21 |
| FSLR First Solar, Inc. |
Contrarian | 2.2% | -16.2% | -10.3% | -24.8% | -38.4% | -45.9% | -0.31 |
| VST Vistra Corp. |
Contrarian | 2.1% | -6.3% | -4.8% | -24.1% | -37.8% | -36.1% | -0.36 |
| MP MP Materials Corp. |
Contrarian | 2.1% | -13.2% | -39.4% | -46.0% | -59.6% | -61.4% | -0.49 |
| TLN Talen Energy Corporation |
Contrarian | 1.9% | -3.1% | +2.5% | -17.6% | -31.2% | -36.7% | -0.12 |
Equal-weight foil. If the pick book is just high-beta beta, this list should not look dramatically worse. If it does, the rating at least sorted the trailing tape.
| Ticker | 3m | 6m | 1y | vs SPY | Max DD | Sharpe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI C3.ai, Inc. |
— | +31.8% | +20.7% | -42.4% | -56.1% | -60.5% | -0.68 | |
| TEM Tempus AI, Inc. |
— | +32.1% | +14.0% | -30.5% | -44.1% | -59.8% | -0.16 | |
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. |
— | +1.5% | +10.2% | -20.5% | -34.1% | -48.7% | -0.38 | |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. |
— | +41.5% | +29.2% | -2.1% | -15.7% | -43.6% | 0.10 | |
| SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. |
— | +49.7% | +76.6% | +6.2% | -7.5% | -50.8% | 0.34 | |
| CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. |
— | +19.0% | +110.0% | +83.4% | +69.8% | -37.2% | 1.27 | |
| FTNT Fortinet, Inc. |
— | +7.0% | +104.8% | +95.8% | +82.2% | -14.3% | 1.64 | |
| IRDM Iridium Communications Inc. |
— | -7.4% | +4.8% | +118.6% | +104.9% | -21.5% | 1.47 | |
| ILMN Illumina, Inc. |
— | +36.4% | +97.6% | +159.9% | +146.2% | -25.7% | 2.04 |
Alignment. Daily closes (CBOE delayed history) via hist.json, inner-joined to SPY and every pick with a full tape (260 sessions, 2025-10-06 to 2026-10-16).
Weights. Model = inverse-vol sleeves with a 12% cap, renormalized to fully invested. Published keeps the 20.0% cash sleeve at a 0% return.
Sharpe. Daily mean annualized minus 4%, divided by annualized daily vol.
Next. Once Railway has more than one daily snapshot, this page can walk ratings forward instead of freezing this week's list.